NCIER®

Conjecture claims

Every claim in the map classified as conjecture, in report order.

Claims

Conjecture [V] p010-08

Police may be needed to contact parents, search students, or gather outside information

For example, it might be necessary to have law enforcement speak with a student’s parent or guardian, search a student’s person or possessions, or collect additional information about the student or situation outside the school community during the assessment.

p. 10 · NCIER Claim Map
Conjecture [V] p011-12

Teams may draw on prior incidents, underscoring need for accurate documentation

The Team may be able to draw on information from previous incidents and interventions to address the current situation for the student. This factor further emphasizes the importance of the Team’s documentation to ensure the accuracy and availability of information regarding prior contacts the student of concern may have had with the Team.

p. 11 · NCIER Claim Map
Conjecture [V] p019-10

Possible planning behaviors include target lists, surveillance, rehearsal, weapon practice

The student might create lists of individuals or groups targeted for violence, or research tactics and materials needed to carry out the attack. The student may conduct surveillance, draw maps of the planned location, and test security responses at school. He/she may write out detailed steps and rehearse some aspects of a plan, such as getting to the school, the timing of the attack, or whether to attempt escape, be captured, or commit suicide. The student may also acquire, manufacture, or practice with a weapon.

p. 19 · NCIER Claim Map
Conjecture [V] p021-02

Concern may rise with emotional struggle, hopelessness, violent preoccupation or weapons access

Concern may be heightened if the student is struggling emotionally, having trouble overcoming setbacks or losses, feeling hopeless, preoccupied with others who engaged in violence to solve problems, or has access to weapons.

p. 21 · NCIER Claim Map
Conjecture [V] p023-10

The seating approach could be adapted for older students via project partner assignments

This effort could be easily adapted with middle or high school-aged students by asking students to identify one or two classmates they would like to be partnered with for a project and assigning any student not named on a list to be partnered with a friendly or outgoing classmate.

p. 23 · NCIER Claim Map
Conjecture [V] p026-10

Joint officer-staff training might clarify police involvement point and acquaint officers with staff

Officers and school staff might benefit from attending training together so that all parties are aware of the point at which local law enforcement should be involved in an investigation. This would also allow officers to get to know administrators, teachers, counselors, facilities and maintenance personnel, and other school staff.

p. 26 · NCIER Claim Map

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