NCIER®

Ch 8: How Do BTAM Teams Assess Risk of Harm?

Report pages 58–61: 71 claims on pp. 58–61 (fact 41, statement 10, evidence 4, conclusion 1, conjecture 6, definition 9).

Claims in this section

Definition [V] p058-01

Behavioral threat assessment gathers information to judge whether a student may pose risk of harm

When a case is referred to a BTAM team, the behavioral threat assessment component of BTAM involves gathering information to determine whether a student who engaged in concerning behavior may pose a risk of harm.

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Definition [V] p058-02

Assessment has two main stages: gathering information, then judging risk of harm

The assessment process can be divided into two main stages: (1) gathering information to understand the nature and severity of the concerning behavior or threat and (2) making a judgment about the risk of harm the individual poses to themself or others.

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Definition [V] p058-03

Chapter analyzes principals' responses on the assessment component of BTAM programs

In this chapter, we analyze principals’ responses to questions about the assessment component of their BTAM programs (the management and support component is discussed in the next chapter).

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Statement [V] p058-04

Chapter examines assessment process, data sources used, and transparency

We investigate what the process looks like at schools across the country, what data BTAM teams are using to make decisions about risk of harm, and the level of transparency schools are integrating into the behavioral threat assessment process.

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Fact [V] p058-05

Chapter focuses on the 82 percent of schools with an official BTAM team

Sample (N = 1746) · All principals who completed the survey and received a weight (weighted to national K-12 public school principals/schools)

In this chapter, we focus on the 82 percent of schools that told us they had an official BTAM team.

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Fact [V] p058-06

Authors hypothesized BTAM teams could structure assessment in four overarching ways

we hypothesized that BTAM teams could structure their processes and deliberations in four overarching ways when assessing the seriousness of a particular student’s behavior or the potential risk of harm they posed.

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Definition [V] p058-07

Options capture the standardization of a team's process across cases

The options were meant to capture the degree of consistency or standardization that the BTAM team applied across cases—that is, whether these teams use a common structure and assessment process to consistently collect similar data across cases and a consistent method for deliberation across the set of cases referred to them.

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Statement [V] p058-08

Table 8.1 presents four operational types and the percentage of principals choosing each

Table 8.1 presents the four operational types included in a survey question focused on the assessment process and the percentage of principals who indicated that the option best described the structure and processes of their BTAM teams.

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Conjecture [V] p058-09

Types further down the table are more likely to produce consistent results and maintain performance

Drawing on the research literature on program implementation and quality improvement, operational types that are further down the table reflect modes of BTAM implementation that are more likely to produce consistent results case by case and maintain performance over time, thanks to their standardization (see, e.g., Bohanon, Caputo Love, and Morrissey, 2021).

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Fact [V] p058-11

Only 31 percent of teams use highly standardized approaches

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

Only 31 percent of teams are using what we labeled as highly standardized approaches—that is, applying common structures and processes in meetings and both collecting consistent data and using a standardized process for threat assessment across referred cases.

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Fact [V] p058-12

79 percent of teams use a common meeting structure (sum of bottom three rows of Table 8.1)

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

However, 79 percent of teams are using a common meeting structure (the sum of the bottom three rows in Table 8.1)

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Evidence [V] p058-13

NTAC guidance emphasizes standardization across cases through clearly defined processes

NTAC guidance for effective BTAM implementation in K–12 schools emphasizes standardization across cases, through the establishment of “clearly defined processes and procedures to guide assessments” (NTAC, 2018, p. 7).

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Fact [V] p059-02

Individualized threat assessment: 28 percent of schools; common structure Yes, similar data No, stan

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

Individualized threat assessment | Yes | No | No | 28

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Fact [V] p059-03

Threat assessment with standardized data: 20 percent of schools; common structure Yes, similar data

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

Threat assessment with standardized data | Yes | Yes | No | 20

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Fact [V] p059-04

Highly standardized BTAM: 31 percent of schools; common structure Yes, similar data Yes, standardize

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

Highly standardized BTAM | Yes | Yes | Yes | 31

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Statement [V] p059-05

Table 8.1 survey question on how team operates when assessing seriousness (n = 1,394)

NOTE: This table depicts response data from the following survey question: “Which of the following statements best describes how your BTAM team operates when it is assessing the seriousness of a particular student’s behavior or potential threat during a team meeting?” (n = 1,394).

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Statement [V] p059-06

The table includes only respondents whose school has a school- or district-level BTAM team

This table includes only those who said that their school has a school- or district-level BTAM team.

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Fact [I] p059-07

51 percent of teams collect common data across all cases (sum of the bottom two rows of Table 8.1)

Sample (N = 1394) · Teams answering how the team assesses seriousness during meetings

common data across all cases (the sum of the bottom two rows).

p. 59 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 59 part and the sentence begins on page 58 (claim p058-12). Full sentence (pages 58–59): “However, 79 percent of teams are using a common meeting structure (the sum of the bottom three rows in Table 8.1), and 51 percent are collecting common data across all cases (the sum of the bottom two rows).”

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Fact [V] p059-08

Large teams and teams also supported by district-level teams were more likely to use an entirely sta

Large teams (meaning teams with more roles represented) and teams in schools that were also supported by district-level BTAM teams were more likely to apply an entirely standardized process to the behavioral threat assessment process.

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Fact [V] p059-09

Going down Table 8.1, teams and processes become more structured and consistent

Going down the table, teams and their processes become more structured and more consistent in how they operate—collect data, apply assessment practices, and respond to cases that may pose risk to their school.

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Conclusion [V] p059-10

Structure and consistency help ensure threats are not missed and students are treated fairly

Such structure and consistency are important in helping ensure that situations that might pose a threat are not missed and that students are treated fairly and appropriately through the BTAM process.

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Conjecture [V] p059-11

Survey results suggest teams use a variety of information sources to assess risk

Our survey results suggest that BTAM teams use a variety of information sources to assess the risk of harm posed by students referred to the team.

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Evidence [V] p059-12

Different BTAM models recommend different information, but virtually all recommend broad data collec

Different BTAM models recommend collecting and using different types of information, but virtually all recommend broad data collection and integrating information from many sources to build the best understanding of student behavior.

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Statement [V] p059-13

Principals were given a list of 14 potential data sources

We provided principals with a list of 14 potential data sources in our survey, ranging from interviews with students, school staff, and parents to reviewing discipline, academic, and other school records; law enforcement records; and social media accounts for referred students.

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Statement [V] p059-14

Principals were asked which sources their teams rely on and how often

We asked principals which sources their BTAM teams rely on to conduct behavioral threat assessments and how often they use these sources.

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Conjecture [V] p059-15

Principals' responses suggest teams use a variety of data sources to inform risk-level assessments

As shown in Figure 8.1, principals’ responses suggest that BTAM teams use a variety of data sources to inform their assessments of risk level.

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Fact [V] p059-17

73 percent of principals said teams interview the referred student every time a student is referred

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

School BTAM teams rely first and foremost on interviews with the referred student to make decisions about potential risk of harm: 73 percent of principals indicated that their BTAM teams use this specific information source every time a student is referred to the BTAM process.

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Evidence [V] p059-18

The list of 14 sources is based on guidance from NTAC and models such as CSTAG

This list is based on guidance provided by existing BTAM frameworks, such as guidance provided by NTAC and such named models as the Comprehensive School Threat Assessment Guidelines (CSTAG).

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Fact [V] p060-01

Interviews with student: every time 73 percent, sometimes 26 percent, never 1 percent

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Interviews with . . . Student | 73 | 26 | 1

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Fact [V] p060-02

Interviews with witnesses: every time 64 percent, sometimes 34 percent, never 1 percent

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Witnesses^a | 64 | 34 | 1

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Fact [V] p060-03

Interviews with teacher/staff knowledgeable about student: every time 57 percent, sometimes 43 perce

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Teacher/school staff knowledgeable about student | 57 | 43 | 0

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Fact [V] p060-04

Interviews with parents or guardians: every time 55 percent, sometimes 44 percent, never 1 percent

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Parents or guardians | 55 | 44 | 1

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Fact [V] p060-05

Interviews with potential target of a threat: every time 53 percent, sometimes 45 percent, never 2 p

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Potential target of a threat | 53 | 45 | 2

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Fact [V] p060-09

Records from other in-district schools a student attended: every time 38 percent, sometimes 59 perce

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Other in-district schools a student attended | 38 | 59 | 2

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Fact [V] p060-10

Records from other out-of-district schools a student attended: every time 29 percent, sometimes 68 p

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Other out-of-district schools a student attended | 29 | 68 | 3

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Fact [V] p060-14

Student’s social media/online footprint: every time 15 percent, sometimes 77 percent, never 8 percen

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Student’s social media/online footprint^c | 15 | 77 | 8

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Statement [V] p060-15

Figure 8.1 survey question on how often the team uses each source (n = 1,395)

NOTE: This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “When a student is referred to your BTAM team for concerning behavior, how often does your team use the following sources of information to assess the level of risk posed by the student?” (n = 1,395).

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Statement [V] p060-16

Figure 8.1 includes only respondents whose school has a school- or district-level BTAM team

Includes only those who said their school has a school- or district-level BTAM team.

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Statement [V] p060-17

Rows may not sum to 100 percent because of rounding

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

Rows may not sum to 100 percent because of rounding.

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Definition [V] p060-18

Footnote a: witnesses are, for example, peers or staff who witnessed the behavior

For example, peers or staff who witnessed the behavior.

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Definition [V] p060-21

Footnote d: Sometimes includes rarely, sometimes, or frequently, collapsed for readability

Including respondents who selected “rarely,” “sometimes,” or “frequently.” We collapsed these three categories into one for readability.

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Fact [I] p060-22

Half or more of principals report teams use interviews with other people every time

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

victims—every time they assess a student’s risk.

p. 60 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 60 part and the sentence begins on page 59. Full sentence (pages 59–60): “Half (or more) of principals also reported their teams use interviews with other people—witnesses, teachers, parents or guardians, and potential victims—every time they assess a student’s risk.”

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Fact [V] p060-23

Fewer principals use records in every assessment; discipline, special education, and academic record

Fewer principals indicated that their teams use various types of records in every threat assessment, but when they do, discipline records, special education records, and academic records top the list of records BTAM teams use most often.

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Fact [V] p060-25

64 percent of principals said teams sometimes use law enforcement records; 17 percent use them in ev

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

For example, 64 percent of principals said their teams sometimes use law enforcement records, but only 17 percent of principals said they use these types of records in every case, likely because few students have law enforcement records.

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Fact [I] p061-01

Consistent with only 18 percent naming police and court records a top-two officer-member role

Sample (N = 854) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

with survey responses that examined the role of law enforcement officers who were members of BTAM teams discussed previously, in which only 18 percent indicated that providing information from police and court records was one of the officer-member’s two most important roles.

p. 61 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 61 part and the sentence begins on page 60. Full sentence (pages 60–61): “Note that this finding is consistent with survey responses that examined the role of law enforcement officers who were members of BTAM teams discussed previously, in which only 18 percent indicated that providing information from police and court records was one of the officer-member’s two most important roles.”

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Fact [V] p061-02

Only 14 percent of principals said teams review students' public social media for every case

Sample (N = 1395) · Teams answering sources-of-information question

Somewhat surprisingly, only 14 percent of principals said their BTAM teams review students’ publicly available social media accounts or online footprint for every case.

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Fact [V] p061-04

High school principals review social media at roughly twice the rate of elementary and middle school

High school principals said they review a student’s publicly available social media or online footprint at roughly twice the rate of their elementary and middle school counterparts.

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Evidence [V] p061-05

Threats against K–12 schools via social media have risen (Moore et al., 2024)

This is somewhat surprising, given the rise of threats made against K–12 schools via social media (see, e.g., Moore et al., 2024).

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Conjecture [V] p061-06

BTAM decisions are high stakes, so questions may arise about correctness and fairness

Because the decisions made by BTAM teams can be high stakes for both the students involved and individuals concerned by student behavior and those potentially affected by any threats, questions may arise about whether decisions made by the team are correct and whether they appropriately and fairly balance student and school community safety needs.

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Conjecture [V] p061-07

Given data sensitivity, it can be difficult for the process to be transparent enough to satisfy ever

Given the sensitivity of the data and decisionmaking involved in behavioral threat assessment, it can be difficult for the process to be transparent enough to satisfy everyone in all cases.

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Statement [V] p061-08

Principals were asked whether it would be feasible to transparently explain the outcome of their thr

To probe these issues, we asked principals whether they thought it would be feasible for their BTAM team to transparently explain the outcome of their threat assessment process.

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Fact [V] p061-09

Sixty percent of principals said it would be feasible to justify decisions to concerned individuals

Sample (N = 1392) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

Sixty percent of principals said they believe it would be feasible for their BTAM teams to justify their decisions about a specific case to concerned individuals outside the teams.

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Definition [V] p061-10

Feasible means teams could explain the rationale to a parent, guardian, or other concerned individua

In other words, if asked, BTAM teams would be able to explain the rationale behind an assessment decision to a parent, guardian, or other concerned individual (i.e., why a student was determined to pose or not pose a threat).

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Fact [V] p061-11

Principals said explanations are possible because the process captures detailed rationale and data

Principals indicated that such explanations would be possible because their BTAM process captures detailed information about both the rationale and data behind an assessment.

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Fact [V] p061-12

Another 32 percent of principals said their team could potentially justify an outcome

Sample (N = 1392) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

Another 32 percent of principals said they believe their BTAM team could potentially justify an outcome.

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Fact [V] p061-13

Principals were evenly split: half cite case-to-case variation, half cite verbal deliberations

Principals were evenly split over why this might be difficult: Half of this group noted that explaining an outcome would be difficult because of how much their process differs from case to case (i.e., their team does not use a standardized process for assessment), and the other half felt it would be difficult because assessments are the result of verbal deliberations among BTAM team members (i.e., there is no documentation that could serve as the basis for explanation).

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Fact [V] p061-14

7 percent of principals said their team could not explain the rationale because files and deliberati

Sample (N = 1392) · Appendix A table base (respondents answering the table question; see note for tables)

The remaining 7 percent of principals said their BTAM team would not be able to explain the rationale behind the outcome of their threat assessment process of a student because their BTAM files and deliberations are closed.

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Fact [V] p061-15

Principals with more standardized, well-documented processes were most likely to say they could expl

Principals in schools with more standardized and well-documented BTAM processes—often schools with large BTAM teams (meaning teams with more roles represented) and those served by both school-level and district-level BTAM teams—were most likely to indicate that their teams would be able explain the rationale behind an assessment decision to concerned individuals (e.g., parents or other community members), highlighting a key advantage of consistency in assessment procedures.

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