NCIER®

Ch 12: What Do Principals Think Are the Effects of Their BTAM Programs?

Report pages 94–99: 90 claims on pp. 94–98 (fact 57, statement 5, evidence 3, conclusion 2, conjecture 7, definition 16).

Claims in this section

Fact [V] p094-01

82 percent of schools have an official BTAM team; chapter covers these schools

Sample (N = 1408) · Schools with an official BTAM team (82 percent of sample)

This chapter includes the 82 percent of schools that have an official BTAM team, regardless of whether this team is housed at the school level, district level, or both.

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Statement [V] p094-02

Survey captured only principals' perceptions, not actual effects on crime or violence

Note that our survey did not attempt to capture actual effects on such outcomes as school crime or violence rates and only captures principals’ perceptions of these issues.

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conclusion [V] p094-03

Principals think BTAM positively affects safety feelings and climate, and at worst has no effect

Overall, our survey results indicate that principals think that BTAM is having a positive effect on feelings of school safety and school climate more generally, and at worst no effect.

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Fact [V] p094-04

88 percent of principals positive on BTAM safety effectiveness: 51 percent very, 37 percent somewhat

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Nine in ten principals (88 percent) had positive perceptions, including 51 percent who said their team was very effective at maintaining school safety and 37 percent who said BTAM was somewhat effective.

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conclusion [V] p094-05

Widespread agreement reflects strong national confidence in BTAM as foundational to school safety

This widespread agreement across contexts reflects strong national confidence in BTAM as a foundational element of school safety infrastructure.

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p094-06

Figure 12.1: Very ineffective, 5 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Very ineffective | 5

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p094-07

Figure 12.1: Somewhat ineffective, 5 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Somewhat ineffective | 5

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p094-08

Figure 12.1: Somewhat effective, 37 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Somewhat effective | 37

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p094-09

Figure 12.1: Very effective, 51 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Very effective | 51

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p094-10

Figure 12.1: Don’t know, 2 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Don’t know | 2

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Definition [V] p094-11

Figure 12.1 survey question: how effective is this BTAM team at maintaining safety (n = 1,406)

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “How effective do you believe this BTAM team is at maintaining school safety?” (n = 1,406).

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Evidence [V] p094-13

Widespread BTAM adoption has raised concerns about impact on safety, crime, discipline fairness, cli

The widespread adoption of BTAM at schools across the United States has raised concerns about its impact and perceived impact on a variety of school-specific outcomes, such as safety, crime, fairness of school discipline across all students, and school climate more broadly (see, e.g., Cornell et al., 2025; Cornell, 2020; Nekvasil and Cornell, 2015).

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Fact [V] p094-14

Principals had a very positive overall perception of BTAM effectiveness at keeping schools safe

Principals had a very positive overall perception about the effectiveness of their school BTAM program when it came to keeping their schools safe (see Figure 12.1).

p. 94 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [I] p095-01

5 percent somewhat ineffective and another 5 percent very ineffective at maintaining school safety

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

principals said they believe that BTAM was somewhat ineffective at maintaining school safety, and another 5 percent believe it to be very ineffective.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map

Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 95 part and the sentence begins on page 94. Full sentence (pages 94–95): “Meanwhile, only 5 percent of principals said they believe that BTAM was somewhat ineffective at maintaining school safety, and another 5 percent believe it to be very ineffective.”

Report page 95 with the cited passage highlighted
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Fact [V] p095-02

Two percent of principals were not sure about the impact of BTAM on school safety

Sample (N = 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Two percent of principals were not sure about the impact of BTAM on school safety.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p095-03

Positive safety perceptions held across school characteristics, from large urban to small rural

Principals’ positive perceptions about their BTAM programs’ contributions to maintaining a safe school environment held across various school characteristics.

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Fact [V] p095-04

District-only or small-team principals slightly lower, but eight in ten still said BTAM effective

Principals who only had a district-level team or whose school only had a small BTAM team had slightly lower perceptions of those teams’ effectiveness.

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Fact [V] p095-05

Roughly 90 percent of principals saw BTAM as effective at safety regardless of school crime level

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1406) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Said another way, regardless of the crime level in their school, roughly 90 percent of principals felt that their BTAM team was effective at maintaining school safety.

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Fact [V] p095-06

Most principals believe BTAM raised student and staff safety feelings, by an intermediate amount

Most principals believe that their school’s BTAM program positively affected both student and staff feelings of safety (see Figure 12.2).

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Fact [V] p095-07

66 percent: BTAM increased students' safety feelings (7 percent significantly); staff 70 percent (8)

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

More specifically, 66 percent of principals reported that their BTAM program increased students’ feelings of safety (including 7 percent who said BTAM significantly increased feelings of safety), and 70 percent believe that BTAM is increasing staff feelings of safety (including 8 percent who said they believe that BTAM is significantly increasing perceptions of safety).

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Fact [V] p095-09

Figure 12.2 Staff: sig. decreased 3, decreased 7, no impact 20, increased 62, sig. increased 8

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Staff (administrators, teachers, etc.) | 3 | 7 | 20 | 62 | 8

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Definition [V] p095-10

Figure 12.2 survey question: impact of BTAM program on outcomes at school (n = 1,377)

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “What impact do you think your BTAM program has had on the following outcomes at your school?” (n = 1,377).

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p095-12

Principals in all school settings, large urban or small rural, believe BTAM helps keep school safe

That is, principals in all types of school settings—whether in a large, urban school or a small, rural school—said they believe that their BTAM program effectively helps keep their school safe.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p095-13

Eight in ten district-only or small-team principals said BTAM program was effective

Sample (N = 1406 total; column N not printed) · Teams answering effectiveness at maintaining safety

Nevertheless, eight in ten of those principals said they believe that their BTAM program was effective.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p095-14

Principals' positive views of BTAM effectiveness did not depend on school crime level

Furthermore, principals’ positive feelings about the effectiveness of the BTAM team also did not depend on the level of crime in the school.

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Fact [V] p095-15

Principals in higher violent-crime schools as likely as those with few or no violent crimes to see B

That is, principals in schools that reported having higher levels of violent crime were just as likely as their counterparts in schools that reported that they had no or only a few violent crimes to feel that their BTAM team was effective in maintaining school safety.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p095-17

Principals viewed BTAM effect on safety feelings as intermediate: increased, but not significantly

However, principals tended to view this relationship as intermediate in size—that is, principals felt that their BTAM program increased, but not significantly, feelings of safety.

p. 95 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p096-01

Positive but intermediate safety relationship could suggest schools already relatively safe

The fact that principals perceive a positive (though perhaps intermediate) relationship between BTAM and feelings of safety at school could suggest that schools are already relatively safe spaces, in part, because extreme violent incidents remain rare.

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p096-02

Positive relationships could reflect differing safety perceptions of principals, students, staff

Positive relationships could also be attributable to other factors, such as differing perceptions of safety between principals and students, between principals and staff, or between stakeholder groups.

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p096-03

At worst principals perceived BTAM as neutral on safety feelings; few reported negative impacts

At worst, principals in our survey perceived that BTAM was neutral (i.e., did not have an impact on student or staff feelings of safety); few reported that the BTAM program was having negative impacts on these perceptions.

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Fact [V] p096-04

Perceived safety-feelings impact was unrelated to crime level in the school

Interestingly, principals’ perceptions of the positive impact that their BTAM program was having on student and staff feelings of safety at school were unrelated to the crime level in the school.

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Fact [V] p096-05

70 percent say BTAM improved climate: 11 percent significantly, 59 percent improved

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

In addition to principals’ positive feelings about their BTAM program’s contributions to school safety, most principals (70 percent) said they believe that BTAM has improved school climate overall, including 11 percent of principals who believe that BTAM has significantly improved school climate and 59 percent who believe that BTAM has improved climate (see Figure 12.3).

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p096-06

Less than 1 percent of principals felt BTAM worsened school climate

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Virtually no principals (less than 1 percent) felt that BTAM worsened school climate.

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p096-07

Five percent of principals were not sure of BTAM's impact on school climate

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering the school-climate impact question (Figure 12.3)

Five percent of principals were not sure of BTAM’s impact on school climate.

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p096-08

Responses suggest a modestly positive relationship between BTAM and school climate on balance

Taken altogether, these responses suggest that, on balance, principals believe that there is a modestly positive relationship between BTAM and improvements in school climate.

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Fact [V] p096-09

Elementary, suburban, low/middle-poverty principals less likely to say BTAM contributed to climate

Specifically, principals in elementary schools, suburban schools, and low- or middle-poverty schools were less likely to report that BTAM contributed positively to school climate.

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Fact [V] p096-10

Small-team principals slightly less likely to say BTAM improved climate; most still see net positive

Moreover, principals whose schools had only had small BTAM teams were slightly less likely to indicate that BTAM improved school climate; even in these cases, however, most principals still believe that BTAM had a net positive impact on school climate.

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p096-11

Figure 12.3: Has had no impact, 24 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Has had no impact | 24

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Fact [V] p096-13

Figure 12.3: Significantly improved, 11 percent of principals

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Significantly improved | 11

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Definition [V] p096-15

Figure 12.3 survey question: impact of BTAM program on school climate (n = 1,377)

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “What impact do you think your school or district’s BTAM program has had on school climate at your school?” (n = 1,377).

p. 96 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p096-17

Figure 12.3 bar does not sum to 100 percent because of rounding

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

Bar does not sum to 100 percent because of rounding.

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Fact [V] p096-19

High-crime schools' principals as likely as others to see an intermediate effect on safety feelings

That is, principals in schools who reported higher numbers of violent incidents were just as likely as those in schools with few to no violent incidents to perceive that their BTAM team had an intermediately sized, though positive, impact on feelings of safety.

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Fact [V] p096-20

At worst, principals felt BTAM had no impact on school climate (24 percent)

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

At worst, principals felt that their BTAM program had no impact on school climate (24 percent).

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Fact [V] p096-21

Larger variation in principals' climate perceptions observed across school characteristics

We did observe larger variation in principals’ perceptions of BTAM’s impact on school climate across school characteristics.

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Fact [V] p097-01

60 percent say BTAM decreased violence or significantly so; 57 percent suicidality or self-harm

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

As shown in Figure 12.4, 60 percent of principals said they felt that BTAM decreased or significantly decreased violence rates, and 57 percent believe that BTAM decreased or significantly decreased rates of suicidality or self-harm.

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-02

Principals who did not perceive decreased violence said BTAM had no impact

The principals who did not perceive that BTAM decreased rates of violence said they believe that the program was having no impact.

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Fact [V] p097-03

Only 2 percent of principals believe BTAM increased or significantly increased the level of violence

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Only 2 percent of principals believe that BTAM increased or significantly increased the level of violence.

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Fact [V] p097-04

Principals tended to say BTAM 'decreased' rather than 'significantly decreased' violence or suicides

Notably, principals tended to respond that BTAM “decreased,” as opposed to “significantly decreased,” levels of violence or suicides at their schools.

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Evidence [V] p097-07

Burr et al., 2024: many schools experience only one or two violent incidents per year

indeed, data show that many schools only experience one or two violent incidents per year, leaving very little room for improvement (Burr et al., 2024).

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Conjecture [V] p097-08

Modest decreases could be because schools are already relatively safe places

Again, this could be because schools are already relatively safe places;

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Fact [V] p097-09

Figure 12.4 Violence rates – Total: sig. decreased 10, decreased 49, total 60

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Violence rates – Total | 10 | 49 | 60

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-10

Figure 12.4 Violence rates – Elementary (reference group): sig. decreased 11, decreased 45, total 56

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Violence rates – Elementary (reference group) | 11 | 45 | 56

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-11

Figure 12.4 Violence rates – Middle: sig. decreased 12, decreased 54, total 66*

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Violence rates – Middle | 12 | 54 | 66*

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-12

Figure 12.4 Violence rates – High: sig. decreased 9, decreased 56, total 65*

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Violence rates – High | 9 | 56 | 65*

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-13

Figure 12.4 Rates of suicidality or self-harm – Total: sig. decreased 11, decreased 46, total 57

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Rates of suicidality or self-harm – Total | 11 | 46 | 57

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-14

Fig 12.4 Suicidality or self-harm, Elementary (ref): sig. decreased 13, decreased 41, total 54

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Rates of suicidality or self-harm – Elementary (reference group) | 13 | 41 | 54

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-15

Figure 12.4 Rates of suicidality or self-harm – Middle: sig. decreased 10, decreased 50, total 60

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Rates of suicidality or self-harm – Middle | 10 | 50 | 60

p. 97 · NCIER Claim Map
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Fact [V] p097-16

Figure 12.4 Rates of suicidality or self-harm – High: sig. decreased 10, decreased 55, total 65*

Sample (n = undeterminable of 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Rates of suicidality or self-harm – High | 10 | 55 | 65*

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Definition [V] p097-17

Figure 12.4 survey question: impact of BTAM program on outcomes at school (n = 1,377)

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “What impact do you think your BTAM program has had on the following outcomes at your school?” (n = 1,377).

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Definition [V] p097-20

Figure 12.4 asterisk marks significant difference of secondary vs. elementary principals

An asterisk (*) indicates that the percentage of principals in secondary schools who said decreased or significantly decreased was statistically significantly different from the percentage of principals in elementary schools who said similarly.

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Evidence [V] p098-01

Concern that BTAM may affect exclusionary discipline use and fairness (Cornell et al., 2025)

As noted above, one concern around the use of BTAM at schools across the country is the potential for its impact on schools’ use of exclusionary discipline practices overall and whether exclusionary discipline is used fairly across the student population (for a review, see Cornell et al., 2025).

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Statement [V] p098-02

BTAM program not intended to increase exclusionary discipline; encourages supportive interventions

A BTAM program is not intended to increase the use of exclusionary discipline or criminal justice responses; instead, the approach encourages supporting interventions matched to individual student needs.

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Statement [V] p098-03

Principals estimated BTAM impact on exclusionary discipline and on disparities across student groups

We asked principals to estimate the impact of their BTAM program on the level of exclusionary discipline (suspensions and expulsions) at their school and on rates at which such practices might affect different student groups.

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Fact [V] p098-04

7 percent of principals said BTAM leads to increased use of exclusionary discipline

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Few principals (7 percent) said they believe that BTAM programs are leading to increased use of exclusionary discipline practices.

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Fact [V] p098-05

Principals were split over whether BTAM decreased exclusionary discipline or had no impact

As shown in Figure 12.5, principals were split over whether their BTAM program decreased their use of exclusionary discipline practices or had no impact in this area.

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Conjecture [V] p098-06

Responses from the small subset reporting increases merit additional examination

Although this represents a small subset of schools, such responses merit additional examination to identify what might be driving such changes.

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Fact [V] p098-07

Most principals believe BTAM did not contribute to disparities in exclusionary discipline

Most principals also believe that their BTAM programs did not contribute to disparities in the use of exclusionary discipline practices across different groups of students.

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Conjecture [V] p098-08

At best BTAM helped reduce differences in discipline, potentially increasing fairness

At best, principals perceived that their BTAM programs were helping reduce differences in use of these practices across the student population, potentially increasing the fairness of disciplinary practices overall.

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Fact [V] p098-09

Figure 12.5 Suspension and expulsion rates overall: decreased 53, no impact 40, increase 7

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Suspension and expulsion rates overall | 53 | 40 | 7

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Fact [V] p098-10

Figure 12.5 Disparities by race: decreased 40, no impact 58 (increase label removed)

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Race | 40 | 58 | [unlabeled]

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Fact [V] p098-12

Fig 12.5 Disparities by special education status: decreased 43, no impact 54 (increase unlabeled)

Sample (N = 1377) · Teams answering program impact questions

Special education status | 43 | 54

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Definition [V] p098-13

Figure 12.5 survey question: impact of BTAM program on outcomes at school (n = 1,377)

This figure depicts response data from the following survey question: “What impact do you think your BTAM program has had on the following outcomes at your school?” (n = 1,377).

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Definition [V] p098-17

Figure 12.5 collapses significantly decreased/decreased and significantly increased/increased

We collapsed “significantly decreased” and “decreased” as well as “significantly increased” and “increased” for readability purposes.

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