NCIER®

Ch 1: Introduction

Report pages 20–25: 98 claims on pp. 20–25 (fact 26, statement 33, evidence 18, conclusion 2, conjecture 7, definition 12).

Claims in this section

Definition [V] p020-01

NTAC defines a behavioral threat assessment as a proactive approach (NTAC, 2022)

“A behavioral threat assessment is a proactive approach to identify, assess, and provide appropriate interventions and resources for students who display a behavior that elicits concern for the safety of themselves or others”

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Fact [V] p020-02

Introduction: school violence and threats remain a significant concern in K–12 education

Incidents of school violence and threats—whether directed at students, staff, or the broader school community—remain a significant concern in K–12 education.

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Fact [V] p020-03

School leaders must determine an appropriate response to student behavior raising alarms

When a student’s behavior raises alarms about potential harm to themselves or others, school leaders face the complex task of determining an appropriate response.

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Evidence [V] p020-04

Research: exclusionary discipline can have lasting negative effects and may not reduce risk

Although it may seem that removing the student from school is the safest option, research has shown that exclusionary discipline, such as a suspension or an expulsion, can have lasting negative effects on students and may not effectively reduce risk.

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Fact [V] p020-05

Most threats are found not to be credible; removal can sometimes increase risk of harm

Most threats are ultimately found not to be credible, and removing students from the school environment can sometimes increase the risk of harm by severing connections to support and oversight.

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Fact [V] p020-06

Schools increasingly seek alternatives that balance safety with students' well-being and rights

As a result, schools increasingly seek alternatives that balance safety with the well-being and rights of all students.

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Fact [V] p020-07

Federal data: as many as 85 percent of schools had a BTAM team in place as of 2024

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

BTAM has emerged as a widely adopted approach to address these challenges in K–12 schools across the United States, with federal data showing that as many as 85 percent of schools nationwide had a BTAM team in place as of 2024

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Definition [V] p020-08

BTAM approach: a multidisciplinary team systematically evaluates and responds to concerning behavior

The BTAM approach involves a multidisciplinary team—often including school administrators, counselors, and public safety professionals—systematically evaluating and responding to concerning student behaviors or threats.

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Fact [V] p020-09

BTAM teams are at the core of school- or district-level BTAM programs

These teams are at the core of school- or district-level BTAM programs, which schools and districts often implement as part of their broader school safety efforts.

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Definition [V] p020-10

BTAM process typically has three stages: referral, assessment, management

The BTAM process typically includes three stages: referral of a student based on observed behaviors or reported concerns, assessment of whether a student poses a risk of harm, and management of the situation through tailored interventions.

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Statement [V] p020-11

BTAM aims to identify concerning behavior early so schools respond proportionately

The BTAM approach aims to identify concerning behavior early, enabling schools to respond proportionately and provide support where needed.

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Conclusion [V] p020-12

BTAM helps prevent violence and reduces reliance on exclusionary discipline

This approach not only helps prevent violence but also reduces reliance on exclusionary discipline, promoting a safer school environment.

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Fact [V] p020-13

Many schools and districts developed their own BTAM models besides private, federal, and state model

Although several entities, such as private organizations, federal government agencies, and U.S. states, have developed BTAM models and frameworks for use by K–12 schools, many schools and districts across the country have also developed their own models and approaches, as this report discusses.

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Statement [V] p020-14

Footnote 1: the report focuses on BTAM implementation at school and district level

In this report, we focus on BTAM implementation at the level of K–12 schools and school districts.

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Fact [V] p021-01

Figure 1.1, Spring 2016: 42 percent of schools had a BTAM team (SSOCS)

Sample (n = undeterminable of undeterminable) · Federal SSOCS / School Pulse Panel national estimates of schools with a BTAM team

Spring 2016 | 42

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Fact [V] p021-02

Figure 1.1, Spring 2018: 44 percent of schools had a BTAM team (SSOCS)

Sample (n = undeterminable of undeterminable) · Federal SSOCS / School Pulse Panel national estimates of schools with a BTAM team

Spring 2018 | 44

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Fact [V] p021-03

Figure 1.1, Spring 2020: 64 percent of schools had a BTAM team (SSOCS)

Sample (n = undeterminable of undeterminable) · Federal SSOCS / School Pulse Panel national estimates of schools with a BTAM team

Spring 2020 | 64

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Fact [V] p021-04

Figure 1.1, Spring 2022: 65 percent of schools had a BTAM team (SSOCS)

Sample (n = undeterminable of undeterminable) · Federal SSOCS / School Pulse Panel national estimates of schools with a BTAM team

Spring 2022 | 65

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Fact [V] p021-06

Figure 1.1, Spring 2024: 85 percent of schools had a BTAM team (SPP)

Sample (n = undeterminable of undeterminable) · Federal SSOCS / School Pulse Panel national estimates of schools with a BTAM team

Spring 2024 | | 85

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Evidence [V] p021-07

Figure 1.1 source: SSOCS (Burr et al., 2024) and School Pulse Panel (NCES, 2025)

SOURCE: Features data from the U.S. Department of Education’s School Survey on Crime and Safety (Burr et al., 2024) and its School Pulse Panel (National Center for Education Statistics [NCES], 2025).

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Statement [V] p021-08

Figure 1.1 note: principals asked about a BTAM team or other formal group to identify at-risk studen

NOTE: Both data collections asked principals whether their school had a behavioral threat assessment team or “any other formal group of persons to identify students who might be a potential risk for violent or harmful behavior (toward themselves or others).”

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Definition [V] p021-09

Figure 1.1 note: SSOCS = School Survey on Crime and Safety; SPP = School Pulse Panel

SSOCS = School Survey on Crime and Safety; SPP = School Pulse Panel.

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Evidence [V] p021-10

Safe School Initiative examined 37 targeted school attacks between 1974 and 2000

The impetus for early adoption of the BTAM model dates back to the joint U.S. Secret Service and U.S. Department of Education’s Safe School Initiative, which examined 37 incidents of targeted school attacks between 1974 and 2000 following the 1999 Columbine High School shooting in Colorado (Vossekuil et al., 2004).

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Evidence [V] p021-11

Safe School Initiative introduced BTAM as a violence prevention model for schools

The initiative introduced BTAM as a violence prevention model for schools, emphasizing the importance of identifying students who display behavior that elicits safety concerns, assessing the behaviors and their context, and managing any potential risk of harm through interventions and supports.

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Evidence [V] p021-12

Safe School Initiative stressed multidisciplinary teams and positive school climates

It also stressed the importance of multidisciplinary teams to assess concerning behaviors and efforts to foster positive school climates that encourage reporting of concerns.

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Evidence [V] p021-13

2015–2016: 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals had threat assessment te

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2015–2016 school year (the earliest national estimate available), 42 percent of a national sample of K–12 public school principals reported having threat assessment teams (Diliberti et al., 2017).

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Evidence [V] p021-14

2021–2022: 65 percent of public schools reported having threat assessment teams (Burr et al., 2024)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

By the 2021–2022 school year, 65 percent of public schools reported having such teams, in which threat assessment was defined as “a formalized process of identifying, assessing, and managing students who may pose a threat of targeted violence in schools” (Burr et al., 2024, p. 13).

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Evidence [V] p021-15

More recent federal data: 85 percent of all public schools had a team by 2024 (NCES, 2025)

Sample (no n: a percentage change, not a share of a sample) · a percentage that is not a share of a sample (e.g. a percentage-point change or a weighted estimate of the population)

As noted above, more recent federal data show that this rate had increased to 85 percent of all public schools by 2024 (NCES, 2025).

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Evidence [V] p021-17

Secret Service published updated research and BTAM guidance (NTAC 2018, 2019, 2021)

During this time frame, the Secret Service continued to publish updated research on targeted school violence and guidance for the implementation of BTAM programs in K–12 schools (see, e.g., NTAC, 2018; NTAC, 2019; and NTAC, 2021), and there was increasing research into—and focus on—approaches for preventing violence in K–12 schools more broadly.

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Evidence [V] p021-18

State laws mandating BTAM teams helped advance BTAM implementation at various points

The passage of laws across various states mandating BTAM teams in K–12 schools also helped advance BTAM implementation at various points in time.

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Statement [V] p021-19

Footnote continued: the report does not review how federal law or policy might affect BTAM

include a review of how federal law or policy, or any changes therein, might affect BTAM implementation at K–12 schools.

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Evidence [V] p022-01

Florida and other states passed threat assessment mandates after the 2018 Parkland shooting

states, including Florida, passed mandates related to threat assessments in response to the 2018 Parkland shooting (Blad, 2023).

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Conclusion [V] p022-02

Despite growth in BTAM adoption, there is little systematic data on BTAM in U.S. schools

Despite clear growth in schools’ adoption of BTAM programs, more than 20 years after the publication of findings from the joint U.S. Secret Service and U.S. Department of Education report on the Safe School Initiative (Fein et al., 2002; Vossekuil et al., 2004), we still have little systematic data on what BTAM actually looks like in schools across the United States.

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Evidence [V] p022-03

Prior studies are single-model, single-state, or based on small interview and survey samples

Although several studies have sought to understand the impact of threat assessment programs on various school-level outcomes, including violence prevention, these reports are (1) specific to a single threat assessment model, (2) confined to understanding trends in single states, or (3) based on interviews and surveys of small samples of individuals (see, e.g., Ross et al., 2022; Cornell et al., 2018; Crepeau-Hobson and Leech, 2022; Jackson and Viljoen, 2024).

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Statement [V] p022-04

Primary goal: use a nationally representative sample of school administrators to understand BTAM imp

Therefore, the primary goal of this report is to draw on a nationally representative sample of school administrators to understand how BTAM is being implemented and operationalized across the country.

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Statement [V] p022-05

The report aims to answer 12 questions about BTAM in K–12 public schools as of 2024–2025

More specifically, we aim to answer 12 questions about the state of BTAM in K–12 public schools as of the 2024–2025 school year:

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Statement [V] p022-09

Research question 4: How are schools operationalizing BTAM?

How are schools operationalizing BTAM?

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Statement [V] p022-10

Research question 5: Do schools use named BTAM models, to what extent do they modify them, or are th

Do schools use named BTAM models, to what extent do they modify them, or are they building their own models?

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Statement [V] p022-11

Research question 6: Why did schools adopt specific BTAM models (or develop their own), and how did

Why did schools adopt specific BTAM models (or develop their own), and how did they go about it?

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Statement [V] p022-12

Research question 7: How do BTAM teams assess level of risk for referred cases?

How do BTAM teams assess level of risk for referred cases?

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Statement [V] p022-13

Research question 8: How do BTAM teams develop intervention plans for at-risk students, and what do

How do BTAM teams develop intervention plans for at-risk students, and what do these plans look like?

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Statement [V] p022-14

Research question 9: How do BTAM teams monitor intervention plans?

How do BTAM teams monitor intervention plans?

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Statement [V] p022-16

Research question 11: What do principals think are the effects of their BTAM programs?

What do principals think are the effects of their BTAM programs?

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Statement [V] p022-17

Research question 12: What do principals think about sustaining and improving their BTAM programs ov

What do principals think about sustaining and improving their BTAM programs over time?

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Fact [V] p022-18

Survey data collected from K–12 public school principals February 5–24, 2025

To address these research questions, we relied on survey data collected from K–12 public school principals between February 5, 2025, and February 24, 2025.

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Fact [V] p022-19

Survey administered to a nationally representative sample of RAND ASLP principals

The survey was administered to a nationally representative sample of principals who were members of RAND’s American School Leader Panel (ASLP).

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Fact [V] p022-20

Principals received detailed questions about their school's BTAM program

Participating principals received detailed questions about their school’s BTAM program—ranging from which school and outside personnel are on their BTAM team, what specific BTAM models they are using, and the steps they took during the initial program implementation phase to perceptions of BTAM’s impact

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Evidence [V] p022-21

Footnote 2: other states with mandates: Maryland (2018), Texas (2019), Illinois (2019), Kentucky (20

Other states in this group include Maryland (2018), Texas (2019), Illinois (2019), and Kentucky (2019).

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Statement [V] p023-01

Principals are assumed to have responded on behalf of their schools

Although survey invitations were directed solely to school principals, we assume that these principals responded to our survey on behalf of their schools and interpret their data accordingly.

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Fact [V] p023-02

1,746 individuals completed the 20-minute survey, weighted to national principal population

In total, 1,746 individuals completed our 20-minute survey, and we weighted their responses to be representative of the national population of K–12 public school principals and the schools in which they serve.

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Fact [V] p023-03

Responses examined by six school characteristics and state policy context

To answer our research questions, we investigated national patterns in educators’ survey responses based on school characteristics and state policy context related to BTAM.

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Definition [V] p023-04

Six school characteristics: grade levels, locale, neighborhood poverty, race/ethnicity, school and d

More specifically, we examined differences in educators’ responses based on six school characteristics: (1) grade levels served, (2) school locale, (3) school neighborhood poverty status, (4) student racial/ethnic composition, (5) school enrollment size, and (6) district enrollment size.

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Evidence [V] p023-06

State groups drawn from 2021 Child Trends and NASBE analysis of state laws and policies

Specifically, we drew on a systematic analysis of state-level laws and policies related to threat assessment completed by Child Trends and the National Association of State Boards of Education (NASBE) and published in 2021.

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Definition [V] p023-07

States divided into three groups by their 2019 policy context

We used these data to divide states into three groups, roughly corresponding to their policy context at the time of the review (2019):

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Definition [V] p023-08

Early legislation states (18 states): 2019 requirements to adopt threat assessment

Early legislation states (18 states), including states where, in 2019, state legal requirements, regulations or district policy required school districts to adopt threat assessment as a safety measure.

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Definition [V] p023-09

Early legislation category could include states with explicit laws or training or assessment policie

This category could include states that had explicit laws about schools using the practice, or policies requiring training or mandating assessment processes as part of their response to violent incidents (sometimes in the broader context of bullying and violence response).

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Fact [V] p023-10

Early legislation states: CT, FL, GA, IL, KY, MD, MI, MS, NV, NH, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, TX, VA, WA

These states were Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Virginia, and Washington.

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Definition [V] p023-11

States that encouraged BTAM (20 states): encouraged in 2019 or covered in non-codified policy

States that encouraged schools to use BTAM (20 states), combining states where, in 2019, state law, regulation, or district policy encourage[d] districts to adopt threat assessment policies and states where BTAM was not addressed in state law or regulations, but was covered in non-codified policy.

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Fact [V] p023-12

Encouraged states: AR, CO, DE, ID, IN, KS, MA, MO, MT, NE, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OK, SC, TN, UT, VT, WV

States in this group consisted of Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Massachusetts, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, and West Virginia.

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Definition [V] p023-13

Other states (13 states): BTAM not addressed in state law or regulation as of 2019

Other states (13 states), which included those where BTAM was not addressed in state law or regulation as of 2019.

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Fact [V] p023-14

Other states: AL, AK, AZ, CA, DC, HI, IA, LA, ME, MN, SD, WI, WY (Child Trends and NASBE, 2021)

These states were Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Wyoming (Child Trends and NASBE, 2021).

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Definition [V] p023-15

Footnote 4: principals' responses speak for their schools; school is the unit of analysis

We interpret principals’ responses as speaking on behalf of their schools and therefore often report results using the school as the unit of analysis (e.g., “percent of schools who said X”).

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Definition [V] p023-16

Footnote 4: perception items reported per principal; terms interchangeable

However, for survey items that ask about principals’ perceptions, we report using the principal (e.g., “percent of principals who said Y”). These terms can be interpreted interchangeably.

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Statement [V] p023-17

Footnote 6: 2019 compilation was the most up-to-date comprehensive source on BTAM requirements

The 2019 compilation of law and policy was the most up-to-date source of comprehensive information on BTAM requirements nationally at the time of survey sampling and planning.

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Statement [V] p023-18

Footnote 3: Appendix A lists all survey items and response frequencies

A complete list of the survey items administered to principals and the response frequencies is available in Appendix A.

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Statement [V] p024-01

2019 data used as a reference point for the existing BTAM implementation landscape

We used the 2019 data as a reference point for understanding the existing BTAM implementation landscape as reported through the eyes of our survey respondents.

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Conjecture [V] p024-02

Three state categories help show whether early encouragement might relate to practices and outcomes

Grouping states into the three aforementioned categories allowed us to understand whether early encouragement or legislation by states to implement BTAM in schools (potentially associated with stronger funding, training, or other support for BTAM) might be related to the practices and outcomes reported by principals today.

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Evidence [V] p024-04

Maryland and Texas both require BTAM teams but with different emphases (Texas SSC; MCSS)

Although both Maryland and Texas require schools to have BTAM teams, Texas explicitly requires that members of teams have a range of specific types of expertise “to the greatest extent practicable” (Texas School Safety Center, undated), and Maryland emphasizes coordination with the Maryland Center for School Safety (MCSS), which provides training and other resources to K–12 schools in this area (MCSS, undated).

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Evidence [V] p024-05

Kentucky, Nevada, and Oregon required BTAM by 2019 and stress multidisciplinary teams

Other states that required BTAM in schools as early as 2019, such as Kentucky, Nevada, and Oregon, also specifically stress the importance of multidisciplinary teams in the threat assessment process, with added emphasis on the role of mental health professionals.

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Evidence [V] p024-06

Early-requirement states provide training to school staff via state agencies or education department

These states also provide training to school staff through either state-level school safety agencies or state departments of education.

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Fact [V] p024-07

Between 2019 and 2025 several states changed BTAM law or policy

It should be noted that in the intervening years (i.e., between 2019 and the writing of this report in 2025), several states have made changes in law or policy regarding BTAM.

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Evidence [V] p024-08

New laws requiring BTAM enacted during study (NJ, TN, IA) and earlier (VT)

For example, as our study was underway, some states enacted new laws requiring that schools use BTAM or establish BTAM teams (e.g., New Jersey, Tennessee, Iowa); others have also done so since the 2019 analysis but prior to the start of our study (e.g., Vermont).

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Conjecture [V] p024-09

If grouped by mid-2025 policy, more states would be in the legislation category

If states were to be grouped according to policies in place as of this writing in mid-2025, more would be included in the “legislation” category.

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Conjecture [V] p024-10

2019 grouping still useful to show how early state support may have affected BTAM implementation

Nevertheless, understanding the implementation of early legislation by some states in 2019 is still useful for the purposes of this current analysis, insofar as it helps demonstrate how early state support in 2019 may have affected BTAM implementation over time across different state policy contexts.

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Statement [V] p024-11

Authors considered whether program aspects such as team size or school versus district housing matte

We also considered to what extent certain aspects of a BTAM program (e.g., the number of people on a BTAM team, whether BTAM is housed at the school or district level) matter for its operations.

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Statement [V] p024-12

Subgroup differences presented only where notable, interesting, or helpful context

As it is infeasible to consider all subgroup differences for all survey items in this report, we present subgroup differences in the text where they were particularly notable or interesting and where they provide helpful context to understand national patterns.

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Statement [V] p024-13

Only subgroup differences statistically significant at p < 0.05 are called out in the text

Unless otherwise noted, we only call out subgroup differences in the text that are statistically significant at the p < 0.05 level.

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Statement [V] p024-14

Authors hope findings shed new light on how BTAM is being implemented in K–12 schools

We hope the findings presented in this report will shed new light on how BTAM is being implemented in K–12 schools through a much-needed, deeper understanding of nationally representative trends.

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Conjecture [V] p024-15

First limitation: self-reported data may be affected by social desirability bias

First, as is true of any survey that relies on self-reported data, certain biases—such as social desirability bias—may influence results, should respondents provide answers that they believe are more socially acceptable or favorable.

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Conjecture [V] p024-16

Biases can affect data accuracy, especially on sensitive topics like behavioral threat assessment

Biases can affect data accuracy, especially in areas related to such sensitive topics as school behavioral threat assessment.

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Conjecture [V] p024-17

Second limitation: findings may not fully capture variety across sizes, regions, and demographics

Second, although our survey aimed to be representative of administrators in K–12 public schools across the country, our findings may still not fully capture the variety of experiences across different school sizes, geographical regions, and student and community demographics.

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Conjecture [V] p024-18

Local policies, resources, and community factors can limit generalizability to all U.S. schools

Differences in local policies (below the state level), available resources, and community factors can also influence safety practices, potentially limiting the generalizability of our results to all schools across the United States.

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Statement [I] p024-19

Third limitation: report does not fully explore state policy details or give an up-to-date state ana

Moreover, although the report highlights high-level differences in state-level policies and context specific to BTAM, it does not fully explore the details of such policies

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Why inferred The sentence crosses a page break: this quote is the page 24 part and the sentence continues on page 25. Full sentence (pages 24–25): “Moreover, although the report highlights high-level differences in state-level policies and context specific to BTAM, it does not fully explore the details of such policies and does not provide an up-to-date analysis of state policies as of this report’s publication date.”

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Fact [V] p024-20

Current policies differ even among the 18 early legislation states

For example, among the 18 states in the early legislation category, current policies can look quite different.

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Statement [V] p024-21

Authors hope findings provoke ideas to better ensure student and school-community safety

We also hope that our findings provoke new ideas about how to better ensure the safety and well-being of individual students and entire school communities across the country.

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Statement [V] p025-01

Final limitation: the survey is a snapshot in time and does not reflect change or recent events

Finally, our survey about BTAM practices provides a snapshot of perceptions and practices at a specific point in time and reflects neither changes over time nor how recent events might affect these perceptions and practices.

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Statement [V] p025-02

The report has 12 main chapters, each corresponding to one of the research questions

This report is organized such that each of its 12 main chapters corresponds to one of the research questions listed above.

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Statement [V] p025-03

Chapter 11 examines principals' responses to hypothetical scenarios to test whether BTAM works as in

Chapter 11 is unique insofar as we examine principals’ responses to a set of hypothetical scenarios about student behaviors; the goal of these scenarios is to understand whether schools’ BTAM programs are working as intended and whether principals’ reports of what their BTAM team does matches with how they respond to hypothetical scenarios.

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Statement [V] p025-04

Chapter 12 examines principals' perceptions of BTAM's impacts on safety, climate, violence, discipli

In Chapter 12, we examine principals’ perceptions of the impacts that their BTAM program is having on a variety of outcomes, including school safety; climate; violence rates; and the use of exclusionary discipline and law enforcement involvement.

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Statement [V] p025-05

Chapter 13 explores perceptions of how BTAM programs can be sustained and improved

With an eye toward the future, in Chapter 13, we explore principals’ perceptions of how schools’ BTAM programs can be sustained and improved.

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